Price Bitcoins showing signs of recovery after being pressured below levels US$60 thousand. However, behind this optimism, a number of analysts warn of the toughest phase cycle This may not be over yet.
If the four-year historical pattern repeats itself, BTC prices still have the potential to experience a deeper correction before finally starting the next big rally towards a new price record in 2028.
BTC’s Four-Year Cycle Is Still Relevant
Traders as well as renowned Bitcoin analyst, Bob Loukas, in analysis the latest on Thursday (04/06/2026), assessing that the current movement of BTC still follows the four-year cycle pattern that has been repeated in the crypto market.
“Everyone keeps saying this time is different. I’ve heard the same reasons in previous cycles. In fact, this is a very normal four-year cycle,” Loukas said.
He explained that Bitcoin is now starting to enter a time window that is often the lowest point of the cycle bear market. Currently the cycle is in week 44, while the lowest point usually appears around week 46 with a tolerance of 10 percent.
Based on this pattern, the US$53 thousand area is assessed as levels which must be paid attention to traders. Apart from potentially becoming support, levels These are also seen as attractive accumulation areas if prices do reach them.
Loukas added, if four year cycle If it returns to running according to historical patterns, Bitcoin has the opportunity to enter a phase price discovery new and set record high prices in the next few years.
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“No one really knows. But I believe that in 2028, Bitcoin will exceed the previous record high price. Therefore, accumulating in the US$ 53 thousand area will be a profitable step,” he said.
US$60 Thousand So Levels Crucial for Bitcoin
However, not all market players are sure that Bitcoin has formed a price basis. Global economic uncertainty and increasing geopolitical risks have made many investors choose to be cautious.
Analytics tools provider tradingMaterial Indicators, via upload in bear market.
“The combination of optimism that BTC has now established a price floor and FUD that it has not yet is a classic characteristic of the market bearish,” they wrote.
Meanwhile, trading firm QCP Capital is in report market released on Monday (08/06/2026) said Bitcoin was still moving in a “narrow psychological corridor”, with the US$60 thousand area being an important level to monitor.
“Bitcoin is in a narrow psychological corridor. The US$60 thousand area continues to attract buying interest, but the options market is still defensive, while macroeconomic risks still loom like uninvited guests who are reluctant to leave,” wrote QCP Capital.
These conditions mean that Bitcoin’s movements in the next few weeks are expected to be characterized by high volatility. If selling pressure increases again, the US$53 thousand area has the potential to become the next correction target before the market finds a turning point.
For long-term investors, this potential correction could be an opportunity accumulation. However, short-term traders still need to be vigilant because market sentiment is still volatile following economic developments and global conditions.
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