Price movements Bitcoins back in the spotlight in the middle crypto market conditions which will weaken throughout 2026. Many investors are starting to question the next direction, especially after the price touched ATH in October 2025.
Responding to this, Oscar Darmawan assesses that the decline in Bitcoin prices is not something strange, but rather part of a cycle that has been repeating itself for years.
In the video podcasts on the Therese Learns YouTube channel on Saturday (21/03/2026), he explain that Bitcoin’s movement patterns tend to be consistent and can be observed over time.
Bitcoin Price Drop Prediction and 4 Year Cycle
According to Oscar Darmawan, Bitcoin price movements so far follow a four-year cycle pattern which is related to market mechanisms, especially those related to moments post-halving.
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“From my experience of almost 12 years, I see this as a film that repeats itself every 4 years,” he explained.
He also mentioned that this cycle has occurred since the beginning of Bitcoin and continues to repeat itself. In the current context, 2026 is considered the post-peak phase, where the market begins to experience a correction.
In the worst case scenario (worst case), he said the price of Bitcoin could fall to the range of US$45,000–US$50,000. Nevertheless, he assessed levels This is not an easy point to penetrate.
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One reason is the production cost factor (mining cost) which become psychological limits of the market.
“Breaking US$50,000 is not easy, because there is an intrinsic value in Bitcoin fees mining,” said Oscar.
That is, when the price of BTC approaches levels In this case, buying pressure will usually arise from the market which thinks the price is too cheap.
Liquidity Determines Market Direction
Apart from the four-year cycle factor, Oscar Darmawan also highlighted its importance liquidity in determining the direction of the crypto market.
According to him, currently crypto is still very dependent on the flow of funds, especially from large institutions. Unfortunately, this liquidity flow is not yet completely stable.
He assessed that global conditions, including economic uncertainty and geopolitical dynamics, also influence the entry of funds into the market crypto.
“Crypto is very dependent on liquidity. If liquidity is tight, markets I’m also under pressure,” he said.
This explains why even though Bitcoin’s fundamentals remain strong, its price movements can still experience pressure in the short term.
Potential BTC Price Increase in 2028
Despite predicting a decline in BTC prices in the near future, Oscar Darmawan remains optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term prospects, especially in the run-up cycle halving next in 2028.
“I still believe that in 2028 Bitcoin has the potential to rise again,” he stressed.
According to him, this pattern has occurred repeatedly since the emergence of Bitcoin in 2009 and will most likely continue.
In other words, the current downward phase is actually part of a natural dynamic, not a sign of the end of the trend. This is in line with Bitcoin’s historical pattern which tends to increase after a correction phase.
That’s the summary crypto news today which you can watch to keep up with world developments digital assets And blockchain technology. Stay tuned Blockchain Media Indonesia For updates the latest about the crypto market, bitcoin news, and even study guides crypto for those of you who are still beginners. [dp]
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